The $1 Trillion Dollar Coin: Exploring the Debt Ceiling
For the first time in its history, the United States government may mint a $1 Trillion Dollar coin. Learn why this could happen in the next 60 days and explore the debt ceiling, deficits, and how to pay for things when you don't have money.
Moiz Ali
Founder @ Native Deodorant. Newsletter: https://t.co/TJPOy22F4F Investor in 50+ companies Email: moiz@moizali.com Pod: https://t.co/zGZi4LwUFK…
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For the first time in its history, the United States government may mint a $1 Trillion Dollar coin.
— Moiz Ali (@moizali) April 10, 2023
This could happen in the next 60 days.
Here's why: 👇👇👇 pic.twitter.com/AqUVPyrzFP -
First, lets talk about the debt ceiling. The debt ceiling is a limit on the amount of debt the United States can incur.
— Moiz Ali (@moizali) April 10, 2023
We’re always running a deficit here, which means that the government spends more money each year than it collects through taxes. Naughty stuff! -
In order to pay for stuff when you don't have money, you have to borrow money.
— Moiz Ali (@moizali) April 10, 2023
In 2021, Congress passed a law that said the US could incur debt of *up to* $31.4 trillion. That is, by law, we can't borrow more money than that.
In June 2023, we'll hit the limit of $31.4 trillion -
In the past, Congress has bickered a bunch and then lifted the limit. This time, some believe that we'll be at a political impasse and won't be able to lift the limit.
— Moiz Ali (@moizali) April 10, 2023
As a result, we'll have to pay for a bunch of stuff we've purchased, but won't have any $$$ to do it. Trouble! -
If Congress fails to lift the debt ceiling, the government has an option that your parents don't have, which is to print money.
— Moiz Ali (@moizali) April 10, 2023
That is, we can just print money (rather than borrow money) and use that money to pay for the stuff. Pretty easy, no? -
Well, the trouble is we actually have to PRINT the money, and then deposit it into our account. We can't just go into a software program and add a zero (or rather, a lot of zeros).
— Moiz Ali (@moizali) April 10, 2023
So lets print a trillion dollars, no? -
Well, it's more complicated than that.
— Moiz Ali (@moizali) April 10, 2023
There is only about $2 trillion dollars of US currency in circulation today, and our goal is to have another trillion dollars so we don't have to go through this again for a bit. -
Did you know $1 million dollars in $100 bills weighs 22 pounds? We would need to print 22 million *pounds* of bills in order to print $1 trillion dollars.
— Moiz Ali (@moizali) April 10, 2023
So printing a bunch of $100 notes isn't feasible. -
Moiz, you idiot, lets print a trillion dollar note! That way, we can solve the problem in a second.
— Moiz Ali (@moizali) April 10, 2023
Well, the issuance of paper currency is subject to various accounting and quantity restrictions that are governed by federal law, and we can't do this without Congress. -
But there exists a loophole that could work: coins!
— Moiz Ali (@moizali) April 10, 2023
Coins are generally restricted to amounts of $50, $25, $10, $5 and $1, and have specific provisions regarding weight, size, and even layers of metal.
But there is a loophole to this! -
The Treasury Secretary has discretion to print platinum bullion coins (AND ONLY platinum bullion coins) in the amount she desires.
— Moiz Ali (@moizali) April 10, 2023
Platinum bullion coins can be minted in any denomination, whereas coins in any other metal are restricted to amounts of $50, $25, $10, $5 and $1! -
So the Secretary can print a trillion dollar coin, and then walk it over to the Federal Reserve and deposit it in the United States Government Bank Account.
— Moiz Ali (@moizali) April 10, 2023
That gives us another trillion to spend without having to go through Congress! -
Now Janet Yellen (Sec of Treasury) thinks this is a gimmick, but Nobel prize winning economists and Harvard Law School Professors have both said this is legal and the right thing to do if Congress doesn't act!
— Moiz Ali (@moizali) April 10, 2023 -
So why do we ever lift the debt ceiling instead of just printing more money?
— Moiz Ali (@moizali) April 10, 2023
Printing money without economic output can lead to inflation, so generally, this isn't a good idea. But it is a better idea than letting the US Government default on its debt! -
If we have a trillion dollar coin, who would be on the face of it?
— Moiz Ali (@moizali) April 10, 2023
I vote Janet Yellen herself!